As Americans vote today, their choice between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris has global implications, especially for Africa. While US foreign policy toward Africa has generally stayed consistent, this election could shape specific areas.
A Trump presidency will likely bring back his “America First” approach, pulling the US from some international commitments. His administration may reduce focus on Africa, potentially scaling back support and revoking Kenya’s “major non-NATO ally” status. Harris, in contrast, may strengthen ties through multilateral support and military aid.
On global conflicts, Trump has signaled interest in negotiating peace in the Russia-Ukraine war, which could lower food prices and benefit Africa. Harris would likely continue Biden’s support for Ukraine, keeping economic pressures that influence global markets. Regarding Israel-Palestine, both Trump and Harris support Israel, which may strain US-Africa relations, given Africa’s backing of Palestine.
Both candidates view China as a challenge. Trump plans stricter trade restrictions, which could pressure African countries to limit Chinese partnerships, though they may resist as they did in 2019. Harris may encourage a more diplomatic approach to reducing China’s influence.
In trade, Trump prefers bilateral deals over broader initiatives like the African Continental Free Trade Area. Harris may extend Biden’s support for AGOA and other current trade agreements. LGBTQ issues could differ sharply: Trump might lean conservatively, while Harris would likely promote pro-LGBTQ policies, possibly creating friction with conservative African governments.
Overall, US-Africa relations will likely adjust, but major changes remain unlikely regardless of who wins
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